Pi Network, a crypto project that was meant to disrupt the industry, has become one of the biggest flops in 2025 as it plunged from a record high of $3 in February to the current $0.2040.

The token has erased billions of dollars in value as the market capitalization dropped from nearly $20 billion to the current $1.7 billion. This article explores what went wrong with the token and whether it will rebound.

The rise of Pi Network 

Pi Network is a cryptocurrency project that was launched by Dr. Nicolas Kokkalis and Dr. Chengdiao Fan to disrupt the crypto industry by solving some of the existing challenges.

For example, unlike Bitcoin, anyone can mind Pi Coin using their smartphone. Also, its transaction costs are much lower than other cryptocurrencies.

Launched in 2019, the project went viral globally, attracting over 60 million people who hoped to make a fortune mining the token. Its tools, including its browser and mining application, gained millions of users.

The project transitioned to the enclosed mainnet in December 2021, a period where the mainnet was ready but limited to external connectivity.

The enclosed mainnet period ended in February this year, allowing the token to be listed by a cryptocurrency exchange. Some of the companies that listed it are OKX, MEXC, Gate, and LBank.

However, pioneers had to pass a rigorous know your customer (KYC) process to move their tokens from the enclosed mainnet to the mainnet. The goal was to ensure that all tokens that move to the mainnet are associated with a real individual.

Also, as part of the transition from the enclosed mainnet to the real mainnet, the project needed to have at least 100 mainnet-ready applications, a move that was intended to give it utility.

READ MORE: Pi Network: From a global sensation to a crypto ghost chain

Why the Pi Coin price crashed 

Pi Network is now widely seen as one of the biggest flops in the crypto industry, with many of its users seeing it as a waste of time. 

Besides, many people who spent years mining the token have not benefited, with many of them being locked up in the KYC process and many seeing their investments flop.

There are several reasons why the Pi Network flopped. First, unlike many new cryptocurrencies, it did not receive substantial listings by exchanges, with Bybit’s CEO calling it a fraud. 

No other major exchange has listed the token since its launch in February this year, with the most important companies like Upbit, Binance, and Coinbase ignoring it. The lack of these listings means that millions of people don’t have access to the token and that its liquidity remains low.

Pi Network price crashed because it is widely seen as a ghost chain that has no major users. While some applications exist in the network, many people don’t find them useful.

Additionally, the token is highly dilutive, with millions of new tokens coming online each week. It is estimated that over 1.2 billion tokens will be unlocked in the next 12 months.

Pi Network’s price also plunged because of its centralization, where the obscure Pi Foundation controls billions of tokens. There is no voting process and the community has no say on anything.

Will the Pi Network price rebound?

To be fair to Pi, the ongoing crash also coincided with the weakness in other cryptocurrencies, including blue-chip names like Ethereum and Bitcoin.

The team is also making some major changes to boost the network and its token.. For example, they are now working on a testnet of its token generator, automated market maker (AMM), and decentralized exchange (DEX) tools. The hope is that its DEX platform will be as successful as other large players like Aave and Raydium.

The developers have also made two investments: CiDi Games and OpenMind, which are meant to grow its ecosystem in the long term. CiDi Games will introduce gaming features, while OpenMind will make it an AI platform.

They have also registered the coin for Europe’s MICA, a move that will see it listed by major exchanges in the region.

Therefore, while Pi Network price has plunged, a rebound cannot be ruled out in the coming year, especially when Bitcoin and other tokens like Ethereum rebound.

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BP share price has pulled back in the past few weeks as investors have watched energy prices dip. The stock was trading at 427p, down by 10% from its highest point in November. So, will the stock rebound after the company starts its divestments?

BP PLC made its first step in its divestment strategy

BP share price will be in the spotlight after the company announced a deal to sell a large stake in its Castrol business. In an announcement, the company said that it will sell its majority stake to Stonepeak Partners in a deal valuing it at $10.1 billion.

BP will net about $6 billion in cash from the transaction and remain as a minority investor. This sale is part of the company’s turnaround strategy that seeks to unload businesses worth over $20 billion in the coming years.

BP is hoping that these asset sales will help to simplify its business at a time when its stock has lagged behind other companies in the energy industry, like ExxonMobil, Shell, and Chevron.

It also expects that its asset sales will help it reduce its leverage and boost shareholder returns. The last point is notable as the company reduced its quarterly share buyback to between $750 million and $1 billion, down from $1.75 billion. 

BP has also made other things as part of its turnaround strategy. It scaled down its clean energy ambitions, and this month, the company announced a major management change. It poached Meg O’Neill from Woodside to become its CEO. 

She replaced Murray Aunchincloss, whose turnaround strategy received a lukewarm reception from investors. 

The most recent results showed that the company made a replacement cost profit of $2.2 billion in the third quarter and $3.8 billion in the first nine months of the year. It also made an operating cash flow of $7.8 billion, and is working to reduce its net debt to between $14 billion and $18 billion by the end of 2027. 

Is BP a good stock to buy?

BP’s main risk is that energy prices may remain under pressure in the foreseeable future. Brent and the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) have dropped by 25% from their highest point this year, and technicals point to more downside. 

BP, like other companies in the energy industry, does well when oil prices are rising and vice versa.

On the positive side, BP’s history of underperformance has left it severely undervalued compared to its rivals. As a result, the ongoing turnaround strategy will likely help it to boost its performance. 

READ MORE: BP is ‘certainly a takeover target’, market expert says

BP share price technical analysis

The daily chart shows that the BP stock price bottomed at 315p in April and then rebounded to a high of 470p. This rebound was a bet that the company’s turnaround strategy would work out well. 

Recently, however, the stock has pulled back after it formed a double-top pattern, one of the riskiest signs in technical analysis.

It has moved below the ascending trendline that connects the lowest swings since April last year. It also moved below the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and 61.8 Fibonacci Retracement level.

Therefore, the most likely BP stock price forecast is bearish, with the next key support to watch being at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level at 393p. On the other hand, a move above the resistance at 435p will invalidate the bearish outlook.

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The crypto market remained on edge on Christmas Eve as the recent Santa Claus rally faltered. Bitcoin was stuck below $90,000, while the market capitalization of all coins plunged to $2.94 trillion. This article provides a prediction of top tokens like Uniswap (UNI), Solana (SOL), and Shiba Inu (SHIB).

Uniswap price prediction 

The Uniswap token has remained on edge in the past few days despite some notable developments in the network. The most important one happened this week when the community members voted to the unification vote.

This vote will merge Uniswap and Unichain, meaning that its network fees will be incinerated afterwards. Most importantly, the network will burn 100 million tokens from the treasury. A token burn removes the amount of tokens in circulation, a notable thing as the supply of tokens in exchanges has dropped in the past few months.

The daily timeframe chart shows that the UNI price has dropped in the past few months moving from $12.25 in August to the current $5.60.

Uniswap token is hovering near the important support level at $4.686, a level it failed to move below since April this year.

The token has moved below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and is below the Supertrend indicator. 

It has also formed a head-and-shoulders pattern, a common bearish reversal sign. Therefore, the token will likely have a bearish breakout, a move that will be confirmed if it moves below the support at $4.686. A move below that level will point to more downside, potentially to the psychological level at $4.

Solana price technical analysis 

Solana, like other altcoins, has dropped in the past few months, moving from a high of $252 in September to the current $121. 

The token has dropped as it continued to lose market share against Ethereum, a chain that has continued to dominate in key industries like decentralized finance and real-world asset tokenization.

Solana has some bullish catalysts, including the rising ETF inflows and the upcoming Alpenglow upgrade, which will increase its performance significantly.

The token has remained below all moving averages, a sign that bears are in control. Most importantly, it has formed a bearish flag pattern, which is made up of a vertical line and an ascending channel.

Solana remains below the Supertrend and the Ichimoku cloud indicators. Therefore, the token will likely have a strong bearish breakdown in the coming weeks, potentially to the key support at $100.

Shiba Inu Coin price prediction 

Shiba Inu Coin price slumped in the past few months and is now hovering near its lowest level in years.

The token has plunged as demand for meme coins plunged. Indeed, a closer look shows that most of these tokens have plunged by over 60% from their peaks in 2025.

Shiba Inu has remained below all moving averages, while top oscillators like the Relative Strength Index and the MACD indicators have continued falling this month.

On the positive side, the token has formed a falling wedge whose two lines are about to converge. Therefore, the token will likely rebound and possibly retest the key resistance level at $0.000010.

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Ethereum price remained below the important support level at $3,000 as demand for the coin eased modestly. ETH dropped to a low of $2,935 on Wednesday, down sharply from the year-to-date high of $4,945. This article provides an ETH price prediction and what to expect in the near term. 

Ethereum price prediction

The daily chart shows that the ETH price has plunged in the past few months. It has crashed from the year-to-date high of $4,945 to the current $2,2935.

The token formed a death cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crossed each other on November 23, confirming the ongoing bearish breakdown.

ETH price has formed a bearish flag pattern, which is made up of a vertical line and an ascending channel. It has now moved below the lower side of the ascending channel.

Ethereum token has also dropped below the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level. It has moved below the Ichimoku cloud and the Supertrend indicators.

The token has moved below the Strong, Pivot, and Reverse level of the Murrey Math Lines. Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the token continues falling, potentially to the next key support level at $2,500. This is an important level as it was the ultimate support of the Murrey Math Lines and also the psychological level.

A move below that level will point to more downside, potentially to the psychological point at $2,000. On the other hand, a move above the key resistance level at $3,437, the bottom of the trading range. Such a move will push it to the year-to-date high of $4,960.

Ethereum price chart | Source: TradingView

ETH price has bullish catalysts as headwinds remain 

Ethereum price is facing some major headwinds that may push it lower in the near term. One of them is the ongoing crypto market crash that has affected Bitcoin and other altcoins. Indeed, for the first time in year, Bitcoin has crashed as other assets like gold, silver, and the S&P 500 jumped. 

Ethereum is also facing the challenge of the ongoing altcoin season weakness. Data compiled by CMC shows that the Altcoin Season Index has dropped sharply in the past few months.

Meanwhile, demand for Ethereum ETFs has waned in the past few weeks. These funds shed over $10.9 million in assets this week, bringing the cumulative monthly outflow to $510 million. The funds shed over $1.42 billion in assets last month. 

Additionally, the volatility may jump sharply in the coming days as investors prepare for a major options expiry. Over $3 billion worth of expiry will happen on Friday, and in most cases, this is usually accompanied by volatility. 

Still, despite all this, the Ethereum price faces some major tailwinds that may boost its performance in the long term. 

Its supply in exchanges has dropped to a multi-year low, while its market share in key industries like decentralized finance, stablecoins, and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization has grown. Its dominance has grown even as competition rose.

Also, while the Ethereum ETFs have had outflows recently, the reality is that they have added over $12 billion in the less than 2 years, which iss an encouraging number.

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Lucid Group stock price had a difficult performance this year as it continued falling due to major headwinds. It has dropped by 65% this year, with its market capitalization dropping from over $10.47 billion to the current $3.83 billion. So, is LCID a good company to buy today?

Lucid Group is doing well despite major headwinds

Lucid Group, a top player in the electric vehicle (EV) industry, is facing major headwinds as competition in the industry slows and demand for some of its brands, including Gravity remains weak.

Like other companies in the industry, Lucid Group is facing headwinds after Donald Trump ended the $7,500 EV tax credit as part of the Big Beautiful Bill. Also, the bill ended a provision that let other automakers pay Lucid and other EVs for carbon credits.

Meanwhile, the much-anticipated Gravity SUV is off to a slow start, with the company not disclosing its sales numbers to investors. Some analysts believe that the Gravity sales are now in their hundreds.

The most recent results showed that the company’s production rose by 116% to 3,891 in the third quarter, while its deliveries jumped by 47% to 4,078. 

As a result, its revenue rose by 68% to over $336 million as customers rushed to buy EVs ahead of the EV tax credit expiry. 

However, the profit drought continued in the third quarter, with its earnings-per-share missing estimates to the second consecutive quarter. Its earnings-per-share are $2.55, up from $2.2, with the company continuing to lose money for each vehicle sold.

On the positive side, analysts expect the company’s business to continue doing relatively well even with the ongoing woes in the electric vehicle industry. The average estimate among analysts is that the fourth-quarter revenue rose to $473 million, up sharply from the $234 million it made in the same period last year.

Analysts see Lucid’s growth continuing

Analysts also expect the company’s annual revenue to be $1.3 billion, followed by $2.43 billion next year. These assumptions mean that analysts expect little disruption from Donald Trump’s policies.

The challenge, however, is that Lucid’s losses will likely continue in the foreseeable future. Analysts expect the upcoming results to show that the earnings per share (EPS) will be a loss of $9.57 this year followed by $6.46 in the following year.

Lucid has also made some notable developments this year. It entered a major deal with Uber, which pledged to buy 20,000 Gravity SUV, which will be equipped with Nuro’s autonomous technology. It also invested $300 million in Lucid, helping it boost its balance sheet.

Lucid also received some good news from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIC) that increased the delayed term loan facility from $750 million to $2 billion. Therefore, the company hopes that its current cash balances will provide it with enough liquidity until 2027.

Additionally, Lucid is hoping to launch a new vehicle that will be cheaper for other EVs, a move that will likely lead to more revenue and profitability.

Lucid stock price technical analysis 

The daily timeframe chart shows that the LCID stock price has been in a strong downward trend in the past few months, reaching a low of $11.

It has remained below all moving averages and the Supertrend indicator, meaning that bears are in control.

A closer look shows that the stock has formed a small double-bottom pattern at $11.5 and a neckline at $14.25. This is one of the most common bullish reversal signs in technical analysis.

Therefore, the stock will likely bounce back in the near term. Such a move will push it to the neckline at $14.25. A move above that level will point to more gains, potentially to the psychological level at $20. 

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AppLovin stock price has had a strong performance this year, continuing a bull run that started a few years ago when it was trading at $9.20. It has jumped to $720, giving it a market capitalization of over $243 billion, up sharply from less than $1 billion. So, will this advertising company continue its bull run?

AppLovin stock has surged as its growth has accelerated 

AppLovin is a top company in the technology and advertising industry, where it provides companies with tools for advertising, monetizing, analytics, and publishing. 

The company’s business has done well in the past few years as the advertising industry maintains its resilience and revenue growth continues.

Data shows that its annual revenue moved from $483 million in 2018 to $4.7 billion, and Wall Street analysts believe that it has more growth to run.

The average estimate among analysts is that its revenue will jump to $5.75 billion this year and $7.8 billion in 2026.

Most importantly, its earnings per share (EPS) is expected to move from $4.53 in 2024 to $9.35 this year and $14.5 in the coming year. Its real numbers will likely be much higher than estimates, as it has a long record of beating estimates.

The most recent results showed that AppLovin’s revenue jumped by 68% in the third quarter of the year to $1.41 billion, with its net income from continuing operations rising by 93% to $836 million.

Valuation concerns remain

AppLovin stock price surge has caught many investors by surprise, with the most notable ones being Muddy Waters, which published a short report. It accused the company of overstating its revenue and violating the terms of service by companies like Google and Meta Platforms. This report led to an SEC investigation on these practices.

The stock has thrived since that report came out in 2024. Still, this surge has led to concerns about the company’s valuation, which has extended.

Data compiled by Seeking Alpha shows that it has a valuation grade of D+. This valuation is based on the view that it has a forward PE ratio of 87, much higher than the sector median of 24. 

The valuation multiple is higher than the five-year average of 33. It is also much higher than other faster-growing companies like Nvidia.

Meanwhile, the forward EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 61, which is higher than the sector median of 20. That is a sign that the company is priced to perfection, meaning that it needs to continue beating analysts’ estimates by far.

Another way to look at the company’s valuation is to use the rule-of-40 approach, which looks at a company’s growth and its margins. In this case, the company’s forward revenue growth is 33%, while its net income margin is 44%, giving it a rule-of-40 multiple of 77%.

Therefore, while the P/E multiple is higher than that of other companies, the rule-of-40 multiple means that it is sending mixed signals.

AppLovin share price technical analysis 

The daily timeframe chart shows that the APP stock price has been in a strong uptrend in the past few months and is now trading at $725, a few points below the all-time high of $742.

It has remained above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), a sign that bulls are in control.

The stock has formed a double-top pattern at $725 and a neckline at $490, meaning it may retreat in the coming weeks. 

However, a closer look shows that it may be forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, which is a common bullish reversal sign.

Therefore, the stock may keep rising if it moves above the neckline at $725. A move above that level will point to more gains, potentially to $800.

READ MORE: Cramer recommends trimming exposure to AppLovin stock ahead of S&P 500 inclusion

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The Nio stock price has suffered a big reversal in the past few weeks as concerns about the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) industry continued. It dropped to the psychological level at $5, its lowest level since August, and 40% from the year-to-date high. 

Nio stock price technical analysis suggests more downside 

The daily timeframe chart shows that the Nio share price has been in a strong downward in the past few months, mirroring the performance of other Chinese EV companies like XPeng and Li Auto.

It has moved from the year-to-date high of $8.05 to the current $5, which has coincided with the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level.

Worse, the stock is about to form a death cross pattern, which is characterized by the bearish crossover of the 200-day and the 50-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMA). A death cross is one of the most common bearish continuation signs in technical analysis.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD indicators have also continued falling in the past few months and are hovering near their oversold levels.

It has also moved below the Supertrend indicator, a sign that bears remain in control this year. Additionally, it has formed a bearish pennant pattern, which is characterized by a vertical line and a symmetrical triangle pattern. 

Therefore, the most likely Nio stock price forecast is bearish, with the next key support level to watch being at $4.95, which is along the 61.8 Fibonacci Retracement level. 

A move above the key resistance level at $5.50 will invalidate the bearish outlook and point to more gains.

Nio stock chart | Source: TradingView

Nio’s business continues to struggle 

The ongoing Nio share price crash has plunged, mirroring the performance of other companies in the Chinese EV industry. XPeng stock has plummeted by 30% from the year-to-date high of $28.

Similarly, Li Auto has plunged by 46% from the year-to-date high, while Polestar has dropped by 70% from the August high. Other companies like BYD, Geely, Leapmotor, and Zeekr.

Nio and other Chinese EV companies have slumped as investors remain concerned about China’s demand after the end of incentives in some key states. 

It also stumbled after the company warned of weaker fourth-quarter numbers in its recent report. The most recent numbers revealed that its third-quarter deliveries jumped by 40% to 87,071. 

Its revenue rose by 16.7% to $3.06 billion, while the gross margin moved to 13.9% from the previous 10.7%. Still, the company made a big loss of $408 million, an improvement of 31%.

The continued losses mean that the company may soon announce another fundraising that will lead to more dilution. Its outstanding shares have jumped to 2.09 billion, up sharply from the 2021 low of 1.36 billion. The company recently diluted its investors by raising $1.16 billion by selling its shares. 

Nio also issued a weaker-than-expected guidance. It expected its sales to be between 120,000 and 1225,0200, lower than the median estimate. It now expects that it will break even in the fourth year of 2026.

Analysts are still optimistic that the company’s stock will rebound, with the average target being 6.70, higher than the current $4.9.

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The Japanese yen rebounded for the second consecutive day as investors reacted to the ongoing divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The USD/JPY exchange rate retreated to a low of 156.30, down sharply from the year-to-date high of 157.83. It has also formed a risky chart pattern pointing to more downside in the near term.

USD/JPY technical analysis points to a retreat 

The daily timeframe chart shows that the USD/JPY exchange rate has pulled back in the past two consecutive days. This retreat happened after the pair formed a double-top pattern at 157.83 with a neckline at 154.37.

A double-top pattern is one of the most common bearish reversal chart patterns in technical analysis. 

A closer look shows that the pair has formed a bearish divergence pattern as the MACDA and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) continued to move downwards. A bearish divergence happens when these oscillators drop when a currency pair is in an uptrend.

Therefore, a combination of a double-top pattern and a bearish divergence means that the USD/JPY pair will continue falling, with the next key target being at 154.45, the neckline of this pattern. A move below that price will point to more downside, potentially to the psychological level at 150.

BoJ and Fes divergence 

The Japanese yen rose for the second consecutive day after Japan’s Finance Minister, Satsuki Katayama, said that the government was prepared to take bold actions if it moves out of line with its fundamentals.

His statement came a few days after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) delivered its interest rate decision, which was in line with expectations.

The bank hiked interest rates by 0.25% and delivered a muted forward guidance, with analysts expecting the bank to deliver one or two hikes next year. It is doing that since inflation has remained at an elevated level in the past few months. A report released on Friday showed that inflation rose to 3.0%.

The BoJ has taken other hawkish policies that have pushed bond yields to the highest level in years. For example, it is considering selling ETFs worth over $500 billion and had already ended its quantitative tightening policy.

The Federal Reserve has taken the opposite approach as it embraced a dovish tone. It slashed interest rates for the third consecutive meeting this month and some Fed officials are hinting of more cuts in the coming meetings. 

In a statement on Monday, Governor Stephen Miran warned that the Federal Reserve risked a recession without cutting interest rates. He said:

“The unemployment rate has poked up potentially above where people thought it was going to go. And so we’ve had data that should push people into a dovish direction.”

The most recent data showed that the unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, reflecting the number of government employees who took Donald Trump’s early retirement offers. Another report showed that US inflation cooled in November.

However, James Williams, the head of the New York Federal Reserve, warned that there was no urgency to cut interest rates again, recommending a continued pause.

Looking ahead, the US will publish some important data later on Tuesday. The key numbers to watch that may move the USD/JPY exchange rate will be the upcoming US consumer confidence report, GDP, industrial, and manufacturing numbers.

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Societe Generale share price has done well in the past few months and is slowly nearing its highest point on record. It jumped to a high of €67.85, its highest point since May 2007. It has soared by 680% from its lowest point in 2021, bringing its market capitalization to over €51 billion. 

Why Societe Generale share price has soared

The Societe Generale stock price has been in a strong uptrend in the past few months, mirroring the performance of other European banks like Unicredit, Lloyds, and Barclays.

The stock did well as the company’s revenue and profitability growth gained steam, even as the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered its interest rate cuts during the two years.

For example, the most recent results showed that the company’s revenue jumped by 5.7% in the first nine months of the year to €20.5 billion.

The revenue increase coincided with its cost reduction process. Its costs dropped by 2.2%, much higher than what it had predicted. This decline was because of its asset disposals and layoffs.

Societe Generale’s net income stood at €4.6 billion in the first nine months of the year, up by 45% from the same period last year. All these numbers were much better than its guidance.

At the same time, the company continued returning cash to investors in the form of dividends and share buybacks. The company recently completed its €1 billion share buyback program and announced a new €872 million dividend.

Meanwhile, the stock has benefited from its simplification process as it exited key markets like Guinea and Mauritania. It also exited its private banking businesses in Switzerland and the UK. 

The company, like other major players in the markets, benefited from the trading boom because of Donald Trump’s volatility. Its Global Banking and Investor Solutions business made €2.5 billion in the third quarter, up by 1.6% from the same period last year. 

Societe Generale’s balance sheet also continued to improve, with its CET1 ratio rising to 13.7% from 13.3% in the same period last year.

Still, the main risk for the stock is whether it can replicate its performance in the coming year now that interest rates are coming down. The ECB has slashed interest rates to 2%, and some analysts predict that they may continue falling in 2026. 

Societe Generale stock price technical analysis 

The weekly timeframe chart shows that the Societe Generale share price has been in a strong uptrend in the past few years as its revenue has jumped and its costs have dropped.

However, technical analysis suggests that the rally has become highly overbought and is at risk of a decline in the coming year.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has jumped to 76, up from last year’s low of 38. Similarly, the Stochastic Oscillator has continued rising and is now at the highest point in over a year.

Most importantly, the stock remains above the 50-week and 100-week Exponential Moving Averages, which are at €49 and €40.60. As such, there is a likelihood that the stock may go through a mean reversion.

Mean reversion is a situation where an asset moves back to its historical averages. As such, the stock may drop to the key psychological level at €50 and then resume the uptrend.

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Ryanair share price continued its strong bull run this year, reaching its highest level on record and bringing its market capitalization to over $38 billion, making it one of the biggest airline groups globally. 

It jumped by 60% this year and 202% from its lowest level during the pandemic. In contrast, the US Global Jets ETF (JETS), which tracks the biggest companies in the industry, rose by 14% this year.

Ryanair revenue growth and cost discipline 

Ryanair, a top company in the low-cost flying industry, has done well in the past few months as its business has boomed and its costs have moderated. It did much better than other similar companies like EasyJet and Southwest.

The most recent results showed that the company carried 61.2 million passengers in the second quarter of the year, up by 2% from 59.8 million. It carried 119 million passengers in the year’s first half, from 115.3 million in the same period last year.

Ryanair’s load factor continued rising, while the average fare rose to €65 in the last quarter from €61 million in the second quarter of last year. 

As a result, the company’s revenue rose to €5.48 billion from €5.07 billion in the same quarter last year. Also, the revenue in the first half rose by 13% to €9.82 billion.

Ryanair revenue growth and guidance

Ryanair’s revenue growth happened as its costs rose by a smaller pace, with the unit cost rising by just 1%. It also added 91 routes, even as its challenges with Boeing deliveries accelerated.

Most importantly, the company announced a huge share buyback and maintained a solid credit rating. Its balance sheet has a solid BBB+ credit rating and gross cash of €3 billion, which helped it to launch a €750 million share buyback. In a note, a top analyst at Davy noted:

“It’s got a singular focus and execution of its business model with a long-established management team, and driven by having the lowest cost base, and possibly the strongest balance sheet as well.”

Ryanair has also boosted its guidance as Boeing has improved its deliveries, a trend that may continue in the coming year. Indeed, it has lifted its passenger guidance for the year through the year ending in March. 

There are other reasons why the Ryanair share price has soared this year. For example, it allowed non-EU nationals to own shares, with investors who own its American ADRs being incentivized to buy its ordinary shows. 

Ryanair share price technical analysis

The daily timeframe chart shows that the RYA share price has been in a strong bull run in the past few years, moving to a record high of €30.17. It moved above the important resistance level at €26.97, its highest point in August.

The stock has jumped above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Its Supertrend indicator has been green in the past few months.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillators have continued rising. Therefore, the stock will likely continue rising in the coming months, potentially to the psychological point at €35. 

The alternative scenario is where the stock drops to the support at €26.8 and then resumes the uptrend. 

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