The post Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP Price Predictions for January 2026 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
As January 2026 approaches, crypto markets remain volatile, with analysts pointing to potential price movements for Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP. After a sharp market correction that wiped out $1.2 trillion in recent months, the market is at a critical juncture, and the actions of both retail and institutional investors will likely shape early 2026 trends.
Bitcoin Price
The Bitcoin price is showing early signs of recovery after recent sell-offs. Analysts note that the current fear and greed index is low, reflecting widespread retail capitulation, while institutional investors view the $3 trillion market cap floor as a potential launchpad for the next cycle.
Short liquidations, combined with capital rotation from record-high precious metals like gold and silver, could drive BTC toward the $100,000–$110,000 range. Bitcoin’s monthly close will be crucial in determining whether this is a historic accumulation phase or a temporary bull trap.
Bitcoin could test the $100K–$110K range
Ethereum Price
Ethereum (ETH) price is hovering near key support levels, prompting caution among traders. Technical patterns, such as a potential Head & Shoulders formation, indicate that ETH may experience consolidation or moderate upward movement if support holds around $2,900–$2,950.
Analysts highlight that trading volume, trend momentum, and relative performance against Bitcoin will dictate the strength of any rally. Institutional interest in staking and DeFi activity could further influence ETH’s trajectory, though current market conditions suggest limited short-term gains without significant buy-side pressure.
Ethereum may experience moderate gains around $2,900–$3,150
Ethereum Accelerates Its Roadmap With Glamsterdam and Hegota Upgrades
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XRP Price
XRP continues to closely track broader market movements but has shown relative weakness compared to Bitcoin in recent months. Analysts suggest XRP may trade in the $1.8–$3.4 range, with median projections around $1.9–$2.0 in January.
The crypto’s performance will be influenced by regulatory clarity, institutional trading activity, and overall market liquidity. As Bitcoin and Ethereum attempt to recover, XRP could either benefit from bullish momentum or face amplified losses if BTC breaks to new lows, reflecting the token’s sensitivity to broader market trends.
XRP might trade between $1.8 and $3.4
The crypto market is currently undergoing what many call a “great reset,” with widespread retail fear coinciding with institutional accumulation at lower price levels. Precious metals like gold and silver are experiencing volatility, prompting some capital to flow into crypto, while low retail interest signals a potential opportunity for early buyers.
Analysts emphasize that price trends, trading volume, support and resistance levels, and overall market momentum will determine whether January 2026 marks the start of a new bull phase or continued consolidation.
FAQs
How could institutional investor behavior change market dynamics in early 2026?
If large funds continue accumulating during periods of low retail interest, price movements may become sharper and faster. This can increase volatility while reducing the influence of short-term retail sentiment.
How might global macro conditions affect crypto markets in the coming months?
Interest rate expectations, capital flows from commodities, and broader risk appetite will shape crypto demand. Shifts in these factors could amplify gains or deepen losses across digital assets.
Who stands to benefit most if a new crypto cycle begins in January 2026?
Long-term investors with diversified portfolios may benefit if accumulation turns into sustained momentum. Short-term traders, however, face higher risk due to rapid price swings and uncertain trend confirmation.
The post Key U.S Economic Events To Watch This Week appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
As we are approaching the year-end, this week brings several key economic events that could strongly influence the crypto market. With holiday trading volumes thin, even small moves can trigger sharp price swings.
Because of this, upcoming U.S. economic data could play a major role in deciding what happens next.
30 Dec: FOMC meeting
The biggest focus comes on Tuesday, when the Federal Reserve releases the minutes from its December 9–10 policy meeting. This is when the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points.
Markets will closely study the minutes for clues about inflation risks and whether more rate cuts could come in early 2026.
If the Fed sounds cautious, risk assets like stocks and crypto could face pressure. On the other hand, a confident tone may support market sentiment.
31 Dec: Initial Jobless Claims Data
On Wednesday, the final major data point of the year arrives with U.S. initial jobless claims. Claims have remained near historic lows, around 214,000, showing that the labor market is still strong.
Economists expect a small increase to about 215,000. While this change is minor, holiday trading conditions mean even a small surprise could trigger sharp market moves, despite the overall trend staying the same.
1 Jan: U.S. Stock Markets Closed
Thursday will see U.S. stock markets closed, which means fewer traders will be active across global markets. When liquidity is thin, even small trades can have bigger price swings in assets like crypto and commodities.
At the same time, China is set to introduce new silver export licensing rules. While details are still limited, analysts say tighter controls could impact global silver supply.
Crypto Market on the Edge
With no major central bank decisions this week, the crypto market is moving slowly. Over the past 24 hours, the crypto market value rose 0.45%, sitting at $2.98 trillion.
Bitcoin led the move, briefly rising to about $90,450 before falling back below $88,000. Meanwhile, traders are now watching closely to see if Bitcoin can stay above its recent support levels.
However, Ethereum is trading near $3,000, while other big coins like XRP, Solana, Cardano, and BNB also saw small gains.
The post Ripple News: Is an XRP Supply Shock Really Coming? Experts Take appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
Claims of an XRP supply shock have gained attention in recent weeks, driven by reports of falling exchange balances. Supporters believe lower token availability, combined with rising demand from XRP ETFs, could support a strong market move. However, several well-known voices in the XRP community are pushing back, saying exchange data alone does not reflect how XRP actually trades.
Bill Morgan Pushes Back on the Theory
Ripple advocate and lawyer Bill Morgan has firmly rejected the idea that a supply shock explains XRP’s price behavior. According to Morgan, changes in exchange balances offer little real insight into where XRP is headed next. He argues that Bitcoin’s price action remains the single most important driver, not just for XRP, but for most of the crypto market.
Morgan compares the current supply shock narrative to earlier theories around Ripple’s escrow releases, which he says were also wrongly blamed for price stagnation. In his view, XRP continues to follow Bitcoin’s lead, rising and falling with broader market sentiment rather than isolated supply metrics.
Data Sparks Questions, Not Certainty
Recent data from Glassnode shows centralized exchange holdings falling from around 4 billion XRP at the start of 2025 to roughly 1.5 billion this week. Roughly 750 million tokens were absorbed in recent months, coinciding with the launch of spot XRP ETFs that now hold about $1.25 billion in assets.
While some investors see this as evidence of long-term accumulation, others question whether the numbers tell the full story. Crypto commentator Zach Rector openly challenged the accuracy of some reported figures, saying certain exchange balances looked surprisingly low. He specifically questioned whether listings like Evernorth holding just 86 million XRP fully reflect actual liquidity across platforms.
XRP Rich List Revealed: Are Retail Investors Being Priced Out?
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Validators Say Liquidity Isn’t Drying Up
XRPL validator VET echoed this skepticism, arguing that there is no true XRP supply shock on exchanges. He estimates that roughly 16 billion XRP remains readily available across trading venues, far more than what selective datasets suggest.
More importantly, VET highlights how flexible XRP liquidity is. Tokens can be sent to exchanges in seconds, meaning order books can quickly expand or contract based on market conditions. As a result, price reactions often appear inconsistent, with small buy orders sometimes pushing prices higher while much larger purchases fail to stop declines.
XRP ETFs Add Fuel, But Bitcoin Still Leads
ETF inflows have clearly added a new layer to the XRP story, raising expectations of reduced selling pressure. Still, critics argue that ETF demand alone doesn’t override the dominant influence of Bitcoin.
For now, the debate reflects a familiar crypto pattern. Supply narratives can shape sentiment, but major price moves are still driven by macro trends and Bitcoin’s direction. Until that changes, XRP’s fate is likely to remain tied to the broader market rather than a true supply squeeze.
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FAQs
Why do exchange balance metrics often confuse XRP investors?
Exchange balances don’t capture off-exchange liquidity, over-the-counter trading, or how quickly XRP can be moved between wallets. This can make apparent “shortages” look more meaningful than they are in practice.
What are the potential risks of relying on a supply shock narrative for XRP?
If investors expect price gains based solely on supply assumptions, they may underestimate downside risk during broader market downturns. This can lead to misplaced confidence when macro or Bitcoin-driven sell-offs occur.
How could ongoing debate around XRP liquidity affect traders and institutions?
Retail traders may see increased volatility as narratives shift, while institutions are more likely to focus on execution quality and market depth rather than headline supply claims. This difference can widen short-term price swings.
The post Japan to Cut Crypto Taxes to 20% Under New 2026 Reform Plan appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
Japan is preparing a major shift in how cryptocurrency gains are taxed, signaling a more welcoming stance toward digital assets after years of criticism over high tax burdens. Under the government’s 2026 tax reform plan, profits from certain crypto investments could soon be taxed at a flat 20%, a sharp drop from the current rates that can climb as high as 55%.
For many investors, this change represents a long-awaited reset that could revive domestic crypto activity and bring Japan closer to global standards.
Why the Tax Cut Matters
Until now, Japan’s treatment of crypto gains as miscellaneous income placed traders and long-term investors at a disadvantage compared to stock market participants. The proposed flat tax would align crypto profits with equities and investment trusts, creating a more level playing field.
Industry voices believe this shift could restore confidence among retail and institutional investors who previously moved offshore or reduced activity due to tax pressure. The government’s backing suggests a broader recognition of crypto as a legitimate financial asset class rather than a fringe speculative tool.
Not All Crypto Will Qualify
Despite the positive headline, the reform comes with clear boundaries. The lower tax rate will apply only to “specified crypto assets,” a category tied to digital assets handled by companies registered under Japan’s Financial Instruments and Exchange Act framework.
Major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are widely expected to qualify, but the exact criteria remain undefined. This selective approach allows regulators to tighten oversight while still encouraging participation in established, liquid assets.
China to Pay Interest on Digital Yuan From 2026, Challenging Alipay, WeChat Pay
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Stronger Investor Protections Take Center Stage
Alongside tax changes, Japan is strengthening its regulatory foundation. By bringing crypto under the same legal umbrella as traditional financial instruments, authorities aim to enhance transparency, custody standards, and investor safeguards.
This structure could make crypto more approachable for conservative investors who have so far stayed on the sidelines due to regulatory uncertainty.
New Flexibility for Losses and Funds
Another meaningful change is the introduction of a three-year loss carryforward system starting in 2026. Investors will be able to offset future gains with past crypto losses, a feature long available in equity markets but missing in crypto.
In addition, Japan is opening the door to crypto-linked investment trusts and expanding its ETF ambitions. After launching its first XRP ETF, the country is reportedly exploring additional funds that track approved digital assets.
Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!
Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.
FAQs
Will this tax change automatically apply to all crypto holders in Japan in 2026?
No. Investors will likely need to meet specific reporting and compliance requirements tied to regulated platforms. Those using overseas exchanges or holding non-approved tokens may still face different tax treatment.
How could this reform influence crypto businesses and startups operating in Japan?
Lower and clearer taxation could make Japan more attractive for exchanges, fund managers, and blockchain firms that previously avoided the market. This may lead to increased domestic hiring, product launches, and institutional partnerships.
Who benefits most from the loss carryforward rule, and who benefits least?
Long-term and high-volume investors benefit most, as they can smooth tax liabilities across multiple years. Casual traders with limited gains or losses may see less immediate impact.
The post Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026, 2027 – 2030: How High Will BTC Price Go? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
Story Highlights
Bitcoin is currently trading at: $ 87,250.11458372
Predictions suggest BTC to hit $150K to $250K before 2026 ends.
Long-term forecasts estimate BTC prices could hit $900K by 2030.
The Bitcoin price prediction 2026 is becoming increasingly bullish as the 2025’s second half comes to a close soon, with all-time highs of $125K reached this year as the highest point.
As a wave of bullish momentum sweeps into the market, investors and traders are intrigued by its next stop.
The year was marked by optimism, driven by massive inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, skyrocketing institutional adoption, clearer regulations, and unwavering political support. There were several macro downturns, too, that capped BTC’s uptrend, like trade tariffs and wars.
Despite that, BTC holds its level, making it now seen as “a hedge against inflation” more than ever. Major players, including MicroStrategy, Metaplanet, and several other entities, are boldly adding BTC to their balance sheets, signaling unshakable adoption and confidence in its future.
The market enthusiasm is at a fever pitch, investors are buzzing with questions: “Can Bitcoin sustain its meteoric rise?” and “Will it redefine the financial landscape in the next five years?” This Bitcoin price prediction 2026 – 2030 dives deep into the trends driving this historic rally. Read on for the full scoop.
What is the Bitcoin price prediction for today?
The BTC price may range between $87,394.95 and $90,299.16 today.
Table of Contents
Story Highlights
How 2025 Looked Like for Bitcoin Price? (Btc Price Analysis 2025 – Weekly Chart)
How Was Bitcoin Price in December 2025? (Daily Chart)
Bitcoin Prediction: Analysts and Influencers’ BTC Price Target
FAQs
Bitcoin Price Today
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin
Token
BTC
Price
$87,250.1146 -0.61%
Market Cap
$ 1,742,275,725,593.75
24h Volume
$ 39,560,194,374.8539
Circulating Supply
19,968,750.00
Total Supply
19,968,750.00
All-Time High
$ 126,198.0696 on 06 October 2025
All-Time Low
$ 0.0486 on 14 July 2010
How 2025 Looked Like for Bitcoin Price? (Btc Price Analysis 2025 – Weekly Chart)
The Bitcoin price performance observed since 2024 has demonstrated an upward trend within a defined upward channel. However, the initial swing low was reached in 2023 at around the $16,000 area.
Since then, a bull market began that reached 2021’s high around $70,000 by early 2024, with a decent pullback rally that continued flipping this high and reached $108,000 in early 2025, and Q3 of 2025 marked an ATH of $126,296.
This advancement marked a huge 675% surge in 1008 days when it reached ATH, but this price action of multi-year was happening inside a broadening ascending wedge. And Q4 2025 is seeing a decline from the upper border of this reliable old pattern.
Even the two-year parallel ascending channel that was part of 4year bullish trajectory, has also confirmed a breakdown from the lower border, suggesting a significant decline is forthcoming.However, many experts still expect to break the current bearish cycle that seems likely stretching into 2026.
But, some views current price action repeat every 4 years top, also Since the price action doesn’t fall straight, and the year is also about to conclude soon, that too without a Santa rally.It weighs more on the bearish side. So, at these struggling days, bulls are desperately trying to show a little fight, even FOMC news failed to generate any major momentum and viceversa was expected fromBOJ hikingrates, but both news were well absorbed. It appears that bears are still influencing BTC’s price action firmly. The current zone of $85K-90K is key; losing it here will let BTC slide back to $80K, and if this thin support zone fails too. Then the $70K to $75K range would be retested next, where odds suggest a demand could arise that might trigger a rebound, and the rally could extend to new highs as well.
However, if bulls fail to present a proper fight around the $70,000 to $75,000 support area, then the BTC will become frail and fall further, as it could trigger a price action that traps long buyers, potentially leading to a decline towards $53,489 in the first half of next year, 2026.
How Was Bitcoin Price in December 2025? (Daily Chart)
The Bitcoin price in December 2025 was full of hope, but it didn’t meet of those expectations. December’s high was around $ 94500, and beyond this, the bulls had no power to push. Even in late December, the Santa rally missed, indicating a lack of strength and liquidity in the market, despite the FOMC’s rate cut. This means the market absorbed both good news and bad news without flinching significantly, as seen from the BOJ’s rate hike, which did not negatively impact Bitcoin’s price; the cryptocurrency continues to hold above the $85K mark. This itself is a big surprise.
Currently, Bitcoin is teasing a breakout point from a falling channel formed over the last three months. Now, if bulls are really on fire, then by early January 2026, they must conquer the December highs. If it strengthens the short-term trajectory for Q1 2026, it could push towards $108K.
Month
Potential Low
Potential Average
Potential High
December 2025
$80,000-$95,000
$100,000 – $108,000
$115,000 – $118,000
Bitcoin AI Price Prediction For December 2025
Source / Platform
Low Price (USD)
Average Price (USD)
High Price (USD)
Gemini (AI-assisted)
$110,000 – $125,000
$130,000 – $150,000
$160,000 – $180,000+
ChatGPT (OpenAI)
$92,000
$117,000
$138,000
BlackBox AI
$100,000
$125,000
$150,000
Bitcoin Price Onchain Outlook
The on-chain data has showed strong accumulation in 2025 and sustained declines in exchange reserves. Crucially, this confirms the elevated institutional commitment, which is evident even in the US Spot ETFs data figures and the corporate adoption also reinforces this trend, with public company holdings nearly doubling since the start of the year.
Ultimately, a Bitcoin price prediction 2025 suggests that the future potential depends strictly on how sustained buying demand remains, as well as geopolitical stability and regulatory clarity.
If the current bullish sentiment persists, the BTC price is expected to reach a cycle high target of $150,000. Conversely, should global uncertainty intensify and sentiment turn negative, the downside risk is projected to find strong support around the $70,000 mark.
Year
Potential Low
Potential Average
Potential High
2025
$70K
$120K
$175K
Also Read: What is Bitcoin? An In-Depth Guide To The King Of Digital Currencies
Bitcoin Crypto Price Prediction 2026 – 2030
Year
Potential Low ($)
Potential Average ($)
Potential High ($)
BTC Price Forecast 2026
150K
200K
230K
BTC Price Prediction 2027
170K
250K
330K
Bitcoin Predictions 2028
200K
350K
450K
BTC Price 2029
275K
500K
640K
Bitcoin Price Prediction 2030
380K
750K
900K
BTC Price Forecast 2026
The BTC price range in 2026 is expected to be between $150K and $230K.
BTC Price Prediction 2027
Subsequently, the Bitcoin price range can be between $170K to $330K during the year 2027.
Bitcoin Predictions 2028
With the next Bitcoin halving, the price will see another bullish spark in 2028. Specifically, as per our Bitcoin Price Prediction, the potential BTC price range in 2028 is $200K to $450K.
BTC Price 2029
Thereafter, the BTC price for the year 2029 could range between $275K and $640K.
Bitcoin Price Prediction 2030
Finally, in 2030, the price of Bitcoin is predicted to maintain a positive trend. Indeed, the BTC price is expected to reach a new all-time high, ranging between $380K and $900K.
Based on the historic market sentiments and trend analysis of the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, here are the possible Bitcoin price targets for the longer time frames.
.highcharts-legend { display:none; }
Year
Potential Low ($)
Potential Average ($)
Potential High ($)
2031
$540,830.43
$901,383.47
$1,261,936.86
2032
$757,162.60
$1,261,936.86
$1,766,711.60
2033
$1,059,945.80
$1,766,711.60
$2,473,477.75
2040
$5,799,454.28
$9,665,757.13
$13,532,059.98
2050
$161,978,188.65
$269,963,647.74
$377,949,106.84
Bitcoin Prediction: Analysts and Influencers’ BTC Price Target
Firm Name
2025
Standard Chartered
$200K
VanECk
$180K
10x Reserach
$122K
Fundstrat
$250K
Blackrock
$700K
As per the Bitcoin price forecast by Blockware Solutions, the price of 1 BTC could hit $400,000
Cathie Wood predicts the price of BTC to achieve the $3.8 million mark by 2030.
Michael Saylor-led MicroStrategy expects Bitcoin to soar beyond $13 million by 2045.
ARK Invest has increased its bullish BTC price target to $2.4 million by 2030.
Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!
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FAQs
What are the biggest risks to Bitcoin’s price in 2026?
Major risks include global recessions, tighter crypto regulations, declining liquidity, or a sustained breakdown below key support levels.
How much will BTC be worth in 2030?
Bitcoin price forecasts for 2030 range from $380K to $900K, driven by scarcity, long-term adoption, and expanding institutional participation.
What will be the price of Bitcoin in 2050?
While uncertain, many long-term projections suggest Bitcoin could exceed $1 million by 2050 if it becomes a global store of value.
Is Bitcoin still a good hedge against inflation in the long term?
Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it attractive as an inflation hedge, especially during currency debasement and long-term economic uncertainty.
The post US Market Events This Week: Why Bitcoin and Ethereum Traders Should Stay Cautious appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
Crypto markets are heading into the final trading days of the year with thin liquidity and a closely watched US macro calendar. While price action across risk assets remains relatively contained, several key events this week could influence short-term sentiment, particularly for cryptos that tend to react sharply during low-volume conditions.
FOMC Minutes in Focus
On Tuesday (Dec 30), the Federal Reserve will release the minutes from its latest policy meeting. Traders will look for clues on the timing and pace of potential interest rate cuts in 2026. Any shift in tone could influence risk appetite across equities and crypto markets, especially with liquidity already thinning.
Labor Market Data to Test Sentiment
On Wednesday (Dec 31), Initial Jobless Claims data will offer fresh insight into the health of the US labour market. Softer data could reinforce expectations of monetary easing, while stronger readings may keep rate-cut optimism in check and pressure risk assets in the short term.
Holiday Liquidity Adds Risk
US stock markets will remain closed on Thursday (Jan 1) for New Year’s Day, further reducing liquidity. In such conditions, even modest surprises can lead to exaggerated price moves, particularly in 24/7 markets like crypto.
BTC & ETH: Key Levels Traders Are Watching
For Bitcoin, the focus remains on whether the price can hold above the $89,500–$90,000 support zone during these data releases. A dovish read from the FOMC minutes or weaker jobless claims could allow BTC price to reclaim $90,500, opening the door for a push toward the $93,000–$93,650 resistance zone. On the downside, a loss of $89,500 could drag Bitcoin back toward $87,500–$88,000, especially if liquidity remains thin.
Ethereum is expected to track Bitcoin’s direction but with slightly higher volatility. ETH is consolidating above key support near $2,900–$3,000. A positive macro reaction could help ETH price reclaim the $3,200–$3,300 resistance area, strengthening the bullish setup into early 2026. Failure to hold the $2,900 level, however, may expose a deeper pullback toward $2,700–$2,650.
What This Means for Crypto Markets
With liquidity thinning into the New Year, these events are more likely to trigger short-term volatility spikes rather than establish sustained trends. Traders are expected to stay selective, focusing on key technical levels while waiting for clearer confirmation once liquidity normalises.
The post SUI vs SEI: Which Altcoin Is Holding Structure Better Going Into 2026? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
As the markets are approaching the end of 2025, the consolidation seems to have overpowered the volatility among the cryptos. Bitcoin price silently climbed above $90,000, and Ethereum price rose above $3,000. Unfortunately, both levels were lost as bears teamed up, dragging them below the psychological barrier. This suggests the capital remains concentrated in the large caps, and until this trend persists, altcoins may continue to face pressure. In times when altcoins are losing ground and long-term structures, prices of SUI and SEI are offering a useful comparison.
SUI Price Prediction 2026: Base Formation After a Deep Correction
The Sui price has shifted from a sharp downtrend into a base-building phase on the daily chart. After a steep sell-off from the highs, the price has stabilized inside a well-defined demand zone near the $1.30–$1.40 region, where buyers have stepped in multiple times. The structure now resembles a rounded base/accumulation pattern, with downside momentum clearly slowing.
Price is trading below key moving averages, but the Bollinger Bands have begun to contract, signaling reduced volatility. This suggests selling pressure is getting absorbed rather than accelerating. As long as SUI holds above the demand zone, the structure favors consolidation with the potential for a recovery move toward $1.70–$2.00, where prior supply sits. A clean breakdown below the base would invalidate this setup.
SEI Price Prediction 2026: Downtrend Channel Still Intact
In contrast, the SEI price remains locked inside a clear descending channel on the daily timeframe. Sei price continues to post lower highs and lower lows, confirming that the broader downtrend has not yet ended. Each bounce has been capped by the channel’s upper boundary, reinforcing persistent seller control.
Momentum indicators reflect this weakness. RSI is struggling to hold above the midline, while OBV remains flat to declining, showing a lack of strong accumulation. Although SEI is hovering near a support zone around $0.11–$0.12, this level has not yet produced a meaningful structural reversal. For SEI to shift bullish, it must break above the descending channel and reclaim the $0.15–$0.18 resistance zone. Until then, rallies remain corrective rather than trend-changing.
Market Context: Why Structure Matters Right Now
When comparing both setups side by side, the difference in risk profile becomes clear. SUI price is showing relative strength, with smaller drawdowns and a cleaner base formation. SEI, on the other hand, offers higher upside potential due to the depth of its correction, but that upside remains conditional on a structural trend shift.
With Bitcoin and Ethereum still dictating overall market direction, large-scale liquidity rotation into altcoins has yet to fully materialise. In such conditions, altcoins with weak charts often continue to lag, while those showing accumulation and higher lows are better positioned once momentum returns. This environment favours patience and structure over speculation.
Conclusion: Two Different Bets for 2026
SUI and SEI represent two very different technical profiles heading into 2026. SUI is consolidating above key support, maintaining higher lows and signaling strength through stability. As long as it holds its demand zone, the downside risk appears limited relative to the broader altcoin market.
SEI, meanwhile, remains a higher-risk, higher-reward setup. Its proximity to long-term support offers upside potential, but only a confirmed break above the descending trendline would shift the bias decisively bullish. Until then, SEI remains trend-dependent, while SUI stands out as the structurally safer hold in the current market phase.
The post This Change in Japan’s Crypto Tax Will Have Big Implications for Bitcoin and Ethereum appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
Japan is moving closer to fixing one of crypto’s biggest pain points in the country – taxes. But the details show the change won’t apply to everyone.
Under its 2026 tax reform blueprint, Japan plans to cut crypto capital gains tax from as high as 55% to a flat 20%. The move would put certain digital assets on the same footing as stocks and investment trusts, a long-standing demand from investors and industry groups.
The reform isn’t new but what’s clearer now is how limited its scope will be.
Only ‘Specified’ Crypto Assets Will Qualify
The lower tax rate will apply only to “specified crypto assets” handled by businesses registered under Japan’s Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA).
Around 105 cryptocurrencies currently listed on registered exchanges are expected to fall under this category, with major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum likely included.
Assets outside this framework will not benefit. The blueprint does not clearly include NFTs, and income from staking or lending remains a grey area under the current proposal.
Read More: Breaking: BOJ Hikes Interest Rates to 0.75%, the Highest in 30 Years
Bringing Crypto Closer to Stocks
Another notable change is the introduction of a three-year loss carryforward for qualifying crypto trades. This allows investors to offset future gains with past losses, a rule already standard for stocks and FX trading in Japan.
However, losses from crypto trades will remain ring-fenced and cannot be used to offset gains from other asset classes.
ETFs and Institutional Access in Focus
The tax reform also supports Japan’s broader push to integrate crypto into traditional finance. Investment trusts holding crypto would be allowed, and the country has already launched its first XRP exchange-traded fund.
Final rules will depend on legislation passed by the Diet ahead of fiscal year 2026. For now, Japan’s direction is clear: crypto is being welcomed but only within a tightly regulated framework.
The post Bitcoin Outlook 2026: Institutions Could Drive BTC Price to $170K, Says Michael Saylor appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
Bitcoin is ending the year down nearly 10%, leaving many investors puzzled. 2025 was expected to be a big year for Bitcoin, with new milestones like spot Bitcoin ETFs, more interest from big institutions, and increased political attention.
Despite this, the price hasn’t kept up, creating fear in the market. But Michael Saylor, co-founder of MicroStrategy and long-time Bitcoin supporter, says the market might be reading it wrong. He believes 2025 isn’t a failure, it’s just setting the stage for what comes next.
Michael Saylor: Fundamentals Are Stronger Than Ever
Speaking recently on Alex Thorn’s podcast, Saylor said that the past 12 months may have been the most important period in Bitcoin’s history from a fundamentals perspective.
“The last 12 months have probably been the best 12 months in the history of the industry in terms of fundamentals. It’s profound what’s happened since December,” Saylor said.
He pointed out that, while institutions like BlackRock and public companies get most of the attention, roughly 85% of Bitcoin remains in the hands of early holders whose identities are largely unknown. Meanwhile, derivatives markets, particularly leveraged perpetual contracts, are playing a major role in short-term price movements.
According to Saylor, this structure means Bitcoin’s price is often driven more by trader sentiment and leverage than by spot demand, even during periods of strong adoption.
Why Bitcoin Isn’t Responding to Bullish News
Bitcoin’s sluggish performance is less about crypto-specific issues and more about broader macroeconomic conditions.
Historically, Bitcoin has performed well when economic activity is expanding above the PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) cycle critical 50 level. However, the global economy has remained in contraction territory for nearly three years.
As analyst Nico noted in a recent discussion:
“Bitcoin is a liquidity thermometer. Easy money, it goes up. Tight money, it goes down.”
This suggests Bitcoin’s muted price action may reflect tight liquidity conditions rather than weakening fundamentals.
Are Stablecoins About to Overtake ACH Payments in 2026?
,
Banks Eye Bitcoin in 2026
Adding to the bullish case, Saylor revealed new insights about institutional participation expected next year:
“We’re hearing rumors that major U.S. banks will start to buy Bitcoin, custody Bitcoin, and issue credit against the native Bitcoin asset in the first half of 2026.”
This comes after meetings between MicroStrategy’s CEO and executives from BNY Mellon, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, and other banks, who are exploring ways to manage Bitcoin for clients before offering loans or investment products.
MicroStrategy currently holds 671,268 BTC, worth billions, leading a wave of public company Bitcoin ownership. Altogether, public companies now hold over 1 million BTC, showing growing interest from institutions and clearer regulations.
Saylor suggests that this wave of adoption could support Bitcoin prices in 2026, ranging roughly from $143,000 to $170,000.
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FAQs
Why does Bitcoin often lag positive news during uncertain economic periods?
Bitcoin trades globally and reacts to broad liquidity conditions, not just crypto-specific developments. When capital is cautious, even strong adoption signals can take time to influence price.
Who is most impacted by Bitcoin’s current market structure?
Short-term traders face higher volatility due to leverage-driven price swings, while long-term holders are less affected. Institutions tend to move slowly, prioritizing custody and compliance first.
How might expanding bank involvement affect everyday investors?
If banks offer custody or lending tied to Bitcoin, access could become simpler and more regulated. This may attract cautious investors who previously avoided crypto markets.
The post Bitcoin Dominance Suggests a Mini Altcoin Season in Early January 2026 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
The altcoin market continues to struggle, with Bitcoin dominance hovering near 59% and the Altcoin Season Index sitting close to 37. This signals that capital remains heavily concentrated in Bitcoin, leaving most altcoins under pressure despite pockets of optimism around ETFs and selective narratives.
Market sentiment reflects this imbalance. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index recently dipped to around 28, firmly in “fear” territory, highlighting how cautious investors remain. Liquidity constraints and a clear institutional preference for Bitcoin have kept nearly 90% of top altcoins well below their all-time highs.
Technical Signals Point to a Possible Mini Altseason
Crypto analyst Dr. Cat believes the altcoin market may be approaching a short-term turning point. Bitcoin dominance charts are showing a triple bearish setup at a key resistance level. Historically, such setups often lead to a drop in dominance, giving altcoins a chance to outperform, at least briefly.
He points to January 5 as a critical date. Around this time, Bitcoin’s resistance is expected to shift from roughly $89,000 to $96,000. This could allow Bitcoin’s price to rise while its dominance weakens, a combination that has previously allowed altcoins to gain. He suggests a mini altseason could occur between January 5 and 12 if these conditions hold.
Why Gains May Be Limited
Even with this technical setup, any altcoin rebound may feel muted. The market is crowded, with thousands of tokens competing for limited capital. Even if Bitcoin dominance falls, gains may be selective rather than broad, leaving many investors feeling like a true “altseason” hasn’t arrived.
10x Research Outlines Key Events That Could Move Crypto in 2026
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Chart patterns, including inverse head-and-shoulders and head-and-shoulders, show mixed signals. While these patterns are usually reliable, analysts note that volume confirmation is still missing, making any breakout vulnerable.
Liquidity Remains the Deciding Factor
Adding a macro perspective, CryptosBatman notes that liquidity drives altcoin cycles. Altcoins usually perform best during periods of abundant liquidity. Since 2022, Federal Reserve tightening and balance sheet contraction have reduced liquidity, contributing to the prolonged weakness in altcoins.
Looking ahead, expectations of rate cuts and a potential return to easier monetary policy in 2026 could create the conditions altcoins need to thrive again.
In short, technical signals point to a possible short-term altcoin bounce in early January. However, a strong, sustained altseason will likely depend on improved liquidity and supportive macro conditions. For now, the market favors patience and selective positioning over broad risk-taking.
FAQs
What does a “mini altseason” mean for everyday crypto investors?
It typically refers to a short window where select altcoins outperform Bitcoin, rather than a market-wide rally. Retail investors may see brief opportunities, but timing and asset selection matter more than broad exposure.
Who benefits most if Bitcoin dominance temporarily declines?
Traders and funds focused on high-liquidity altcoins tend to benefit first, as capital usually rotates into established names before smaller tokens. Long-term holders may see limited impact without sustained follow-through.
What should investors watch after early January?
Market participants will likely monitor volume trends, Bitcoin price stability, and broader liquidity signals. If these fail to improve, attention may shift back to longer-term macro expectations rather than near-term setups.
