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The post South Korea Supreme Court Confirms Bitcoin Held on Exchanges Is Seizable Under Law appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

South Korea’s Supreme Court has delivered a decisive ruling that removes lingering legal uncertainty around cryptocurrencies held on centralized exchanges. In a landmark judgment, the court confirmed that Bitcoin stored in exchange accounts can be lawfully seized under the Criminal Procedure Act, firmly placing digital assets within the scope of criminal enforcement.

This decision strengthens the legal footing for investigators handling crypto-related crimes and reflects South Korea’s increasingly mature approach to regulating digital assets in a country where crypto adoption is already widespread.

The Case That Triggered the Ruling

As per the report, the ruling stems from a money laundering investigation dating back to 2020. At the time, police seized 55.6 Bitcoin, worth roughly 600 million Korean won, from an exchange account belonging to an individual identified as Mr. A. The seizure was carried out as part of an ongoing criminal probe.

Mr. A later challenged the action, arguing that Bitcoin held on an exchange could not be seized because it is not a physical object, as traditionally required under Article 106 of the Criminal Procedure Act. After lower courts rejected this claim, the case reached the Supreme Court for final review.

Why the Court Rejected the Appeal

In its ruling, the Supreme Court made it clear that seizure laws are not limited to tangible items. The court stated that assets subject to seizure include electronic information and digital representations of value, not just physical property.

The judges emphasized that Bitcoin has clear economic value and can be independently managed, transferred, and controlled by its owner, even when held on an exchange. Because users retain effective control over their assets through account access and private key systems, the court ruled that Bitcoin qualifies as a legitimate seizure target during criminal investigations.

The court concluded that the original seizure was lawful and that there was no error in the lower courts’ decisions to dismiss Mr. A’s objections.

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Consistency With Past Crypto Rulings

This judgment builds on a series of earlier South Korean court decisions that have steadily defined the legal status of cryptocurrencies. In 2018, the Supreme Court recognized Bitcoin as intangible property that could be confiscated if acquired through criminal activity. That same year, crypto assets were also treated as divisible property in divorce cases.

In 2021, the court further clarified that Bitcoin constitutes a property interest under criminal law, reinforcing its status as a legally recognizable asset.

Crypto Implications

Legal experts say the latest ruling removes practical uncertainty around seizing digital assets held on exchanges and will serve as a reference point for future investigations and trials. With over 16 million South Koreans holding crypto accounts, the decision provides regulators and law enforcement with clearer authority while signaling that crypto assets are not beyond the reach of the law.

Globally, the move aligns South Korea with other jurisdictions, such as the UK, that are formally recognizing digital assets as property. Together, these developments point to a growing international consensus: cryptocurrencies are no longer operating in a legal gray zone but are firmly part of the established legal and financial system.

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FAQs

Can South Korea legally seize Bitcoin held on crypto exchanges?

Yes. The Supreme Court ruled Bitcoin on centralized exchanges can be seized under criminal law, even though it is a digital, not physical, asset.

Could this decision influence how user assets are protected on exchanges?

Indirectly. While user protections remain intact for lawful activity, exchanges may strengthen monitoring and compliance systems to reduce legal and operational risks.

What does this mean for future crypto-related court cases in South Korea?

Courts are likely to rely on this ruling as precedent, reducing disputes over whether digital assets qualify for enforcement actions. This could shorten trial timelines in financial crime cases.

Are decentralized wallets or self-custodied crypto affected by this ruling?

Not directly. The decision applies to assets held on centralized exchanges, though it may inform future legal debates around self-custody and enforcement limits.

The post AI Crypto Movers: Top 5 Altcoins Gaining Trader Attention This Month appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Ever since the crypto markets rose above the bearish influence early this year, the other sectors like DeFi, AI, and a few more have gained momentum. AI, like DeFi, has added nearly $5 billion to the market cap with a significant increase in volume. The AI tokens are once again separating from the broader altcoin market, while many remain within a range-bound consolidation. In the times when the AI tokens are attracting short-term flows, rotation capital, and speculative interest, here are the top 5 cryptos dominating trader attention. 

LINK remains one of the most actively traded AI-linked assets, consistently drawing high spot and derivatives volume. Price action shows repeated reactions around major resistance zones, suggesting active distribution and accumulation cycles rather than trend exhaustion. Traders continue to monitor the LINK price for range breaks and volatility expansion, especially during broader market moves.

The weekly chart of LINK suggests the price is preparing for a strong bullish move, as the selling pressure seems to have dropped to a large extent. Moreover, the weekly MACD is also heading towards a bullish crossover that may ignite a strong upswing. As the 200-day is offering a strong base since the middle of November 2025, the probability of a deeper correction is lower, and hence a small push could elevate the Chainlink price beyond the first target at $25. 

Bittensor (TAO) 

TAO price has established itself as a momentum-driven AI leader, often moving ahead of the broader AI basket. Recent price behavior shows sharp directional moves followed by controlled consolidations—a structure favored by swing traders. Any breakout from compression zones tends to trigger aggressive continuation bids.

The TAO price underwent a parabolic recovery and reached the crucial price range, which had been one of the strongest support zones. Although the price is not yet secured in the range, the technicals suggest a breakout is on the horizon.  The RSI has dropped, but the CMF surged above 0 and remains sustained above the range. This suggests liquidity remains within the crypto and hence, after some accumulation, the token may revive its upswing to $310 initially and chase higher targets. 

Render (RNDR) 

RNDR continues to trade with a clean technical structure, respecting key moving averages and prior demand zones. Pullbacks have been met with consistent buying interest, indicating traders are rotating into dips rather than chasing tops. RNDR remains one of the more technically reliable AI names in the current market.

The Render price has been trading under extreme bearish influence since Q4, 2025. The current bullish push seems to have halted the bearish trend, but the reversal is yet to be validated. Besides, the OBV has remained elevated and displayed a notable upswing at frequent intervals. Additionally, the RSI has halted the descending trend and is attempting a bullish reversal. Therefore, the bullish possibility may remain elevated until the token upholds the $0.01 support and reclaims $0.012. This could push the price above $0.015, which may help the token to enter the bullish range. 

Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) 

VIRTUAL has emerged as a fast-moving AI momentum token, frequently seeing sharp impulsive moves followed by shallow retracements. Volume spikes suggest active short-term participation, making it attractive for momentum and breakout traders, though volatility remains elevated.

The start of 2026 has been extremely bullish for the Virtual Protocol price as the bulls flipped the ongoing bearish trend. However, they failed to rise above the 200-day MA, which is believed to be a strong resistance. The support just below $1 at $0.99 could prevent a deeper pullback, and as the technicals are slowly turning bullish, a notable upswing could be on the horizon. A rise above the 200-day MA at $1.42 may initiate a strong upswing to new highs. 

Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) 

FET is currently trading in a tight consolidation range, a structure that often precedes expansion. Volume has been compressing, suggesting traders are waiting for a directional cue. A clean break above range highs could invite trend-following entries, while failure may trigger quick downside liquidity grabs.

The FET price has initiated a rebound from the support of the descending parallel channel, but the token continues to remain under bearish influence. The volume has exploded, which may raise the volatility of the token. Interestingly, the DMI is set to undergo a bullish crossover, which suggests the buying pressure is about to overpower the selling pressure, hinting towards the beginning of an uptrend. However, the fear of a pullback may persist until the price secures the average range of the channel at around $0.4. 

What This Means for AI Token Traders

AI tokens are no longer moving as a single narrative. Price action shows selective strength, with liquidity flowing only into names holding structure and volume. LINK and TAO continue to act as liquidity anchors, while RNDR and VIRTUAL remain momentum-driven trades.

For traders, the edge lies in timing, not the theme. Compression, breakouts, and failed moves matter more than headlines. As long as these tokens show relative strength against BTC, upside attempts stay valid. A loss of structure, however, would quickly shift the setup from continuation to distribution.

The post Donald Trump Says No Pardon for FTX Founder Sam Bankman-Fried appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

President Donald Trump has firmly ruled out granting a pardon to Sam Bankman-Fried, ending lingering speculation that the former FTX CEO could receive clemency despite his high-profile conviction. The comments came during a wide-ranging interview with The New York Times, where Trump addressed potential pardons for several controversial figures and made it clear that Bankman-Fried would not be among them. Meanwhile, following the news, betting odds on an SBF pardon collapsed from 20% to just 6%, signaling that traders now see clemency as highly unlikely.

Bankman-Fried was convicted by a jury in November 2023 on multiple fraud and conspiracy charges linked to the misuse of billions of dollars in customer funds. In March 2024, he was sentenced to 25 years in prison. While he is currently appealing both the conviction and the sentence, Trump’s remarks make it clear that political relief is not an option.

Why the Pardon Rumors Persisted

Speculation around a possible pardon had circulated within crypto circles for over a year. In January 2025, Bloomberg reported that Bankman-Fried’s parents, well-connected Stanford law professors Joseph Bankman and Barbara Fried, had begun exploring potential clemency avenues. Their efforts reportedly included discussions with lawyers and individuals connected to Trump’s political network. Despite these behind-the-scenes efforts, Trump’s latest statement shuts down any remaining hope of executive intervention.

A Sharp Contrast With Trump’s Crypto Clemency Record

Trump’s refusal stands out because of his past willingness to grant pardons to figures tied to the crypto industry. Earlier in 2025, he pardoned Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht, a move widely praised by libertarians and Bitcoin advocates. He also extended clemency to BitMEX co-founders Arthur Hayes, Benjamin Delo, and Samuel Reed following their convictions related to Bank Secrecy Act violations.

Later in October, Trump went even further by pardoning Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, a decision that sparked backlash due to Binance’s regulatory history. At the time, the White House defended the move as a legitimate use of presidential authority, framing Zhao’s prosecution as part of an aggressive regulatory stance against crypto under the previous administration.

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Crypto in the Mix

Bankman-Fried’s situation appears fundamentally different in the public eye. Unlike regulatory-focused cases, the FTX collapse left millions of users facing losses and shook trust across the crypto market. That damage has made public and political sympathy far harder to come by.

Trump acknowledged his own pro-crypto stance during the interview, noting its political value and strategic importance. However, his comments suggest that support for digital assets does not extend to forgiving figures seen as responsible for widespread investor harm.

What Comes Next for SBF

With the White House door now firmly closed, Bankman-Fried’s only remaining path lies in the judicial system. His appeal continues, but Trump’s remarks signal that any hope of presidential clemency is effectively off the table.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQs

Does Trump’s stance set a broader precedent for future crypto-related pardons?

It suggests that cases involving direct consumer losses may be treated differently from regulatory or compliance violations. Future pardon decisions are likely to hinge on perceived harm rather than industry affiliation.

How does this affect other high-profile crypto defendants seeking leniency?

Defendants in fraud or misappropriation cases may face steeper odds for clemency, even under a crypto-friendly administration. Legal outcomes will matter more than political alignment.

What impact does this have on FTX customers and creditors?

While it does not change ongoing bankruptcy proceedings, it reinforces that accountability remains a priority. Some creditors may view it as validation of the seriousness of the misconduct.

Could a future administration revisit the pardon question?

Yes. Presidential pardon power is discretionary and not binding on successors, though political and public scrutiny would likely remain intense.

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Raoul Pal’s 5-Year Cycle Theory Pushes Peak to 2026 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitcoin fell 40% while global liquidity went up. Gold rallied. M2 money supply climbed. BTC broke down below $100,000. That wasn’t supposed to happen.

Macro analyst Raoul Pal says the bull market isn’t dead, just delayed. According to a breakdown by analyst Nathan Sloan, Pal argues crypto’s 4-year cycle has stretched into a 5-year cycle, pushing the real peak to 2026.

Because of this, there won’t be a crypto winter this year, but a delayed mega-boom instead.

Why Bitcoin Stopped Following Liquidity

Bitcoin and global M2 have moved together for years. When liquidity rises, BTC rises. The 2020-2021 bull run followed this pattern closely.

This cycle broke that trend. M2 went up. Bitcoin went sideways, then down. Investors expecting $200,000 watched BTC slide instead.

“Everyone was expecting super super highs. We got the absolute opposite,” Sloan noted.

The Fed Pushed the Timeline Back

US government debt keeps growing. Interest payments are getting harder to manage. The government needs lower rates to refinance.

But Jerome Powell kept rates high to fight inflation. That delayed the cheap money that usually drives crypto higher.

Bitcoin follows the business cycle. When that cycle stretches, so does crypto’s timeline. The 2025 peak many expected may now arrive in 2026.

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  •   $2.2B Bitcoin & Ethereum Options Expiry Today Amid OI Hit 2022 Low 
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Short-Term Crash, Long-Term Boom

Short-term pain and long-term gains can happen together.

In 2019, the Fed ended tightening and started easing. Bitcoin still dropped for six more months before turning around. Liquidity takes time to hit markets.

If that pattern repeats, another 50% drop is possible before the bottom. But once liquidity flows through, the rally could be sharp.

Altcoin season is still expected. It just follows Bitcoin’s lead, so it waits too.

What Comes Next

The next few months matter. A new Fed chair is expected to cut rates. That shift could restart the liquidity engine.

Sloan says Pal’s thesis should get confirmed or rejected by the end of Q1. If the theory holds, the crypto rally was never canceled, just pushed back.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQs

What is Bitcoin’s price prediction for January 2026?

Analysts suggest Bitcoin could peak in 2026, potentially above $200,000, if liquidity flows and macro conditions align with the delayed bull market cycle.

What are the biggest risks to Bitcoin’s price in 2026?

Major risks include global recessions, tighter crypto regulations, declining liquidity, or a sustained breakdown below key support levels.

How much will BTC be worth in 2030?

Bitcoin price forecasts for 2030 range from $380K to $900K, driven by scarcity, long-term adoption, and expanding institutional participation.

Is Bitcoin still a good hedge against inflation in the long term?

Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it attractive as an inflation hedge, especially during currency debasement and long-term economic uncertainty.

The post $2.2B Bitcoin & Ethereum Options Expiry Today Amid OI Hit 2022 Low  appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitcoin and Ethereum witnessed a major options expiry event on Deribit as contracts worth around $2.2 billion expired today.

The timing is important, as investors are also watching two key U.S. events today, the Supreme Court’s ruling on Trump’s tariffs and the latest unemployment data, raising the risk of massive volatility in the crypto market. 

Bitcoin To Face $1.84 Billion In Options Expiry Today

According to the expiry data released today, Bitcoin options worth nearly $1.84 billion expired on Deribit. The max pain level was set at $90,000, and Bitcoin is trading very close to this level, around $90,236.

Options data shows strong positioning on both sides. A large number of put options sit below $85,000, showing that traders were prepared for a possible price drop. 

At the same time, call options are heavily placed between $90,000 and $100,000, indicating continued hopes for higher prices.

Because of this balance between downside protection and upside bets, Bitcoin remained stuck near the $90,000 level.

$396 Million In Ethereum Options Expiry

Meanwhile, Ethereum saw around 126,000 options contracts expire, with a total value of $384 million. Ethereum’s max pain level was placed near $3,100, and ETH prices are currently trading below $3,092.

Notably, Ethereum call options were heavily positioned above $3,000, suggesting traders remain confident in Ethereum’s ability to stay elevated. If prices remain above the max pain level, dealers may become more sensitive to upside moves after expiry.

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Bitcoin Open Interest Hit Lowest Levels Since 2022

Apart from the large option expiry, CryptoQuant data show that Bitcoin’s 30-day open interest (OI) change shows a sharp decline across derivatives markets, pushing open interest to its lowest level since 2022. 

Binance recorded the largest drop, with open interest falling by around 1.53 million BTC. Bybit followed with a decline of roughly 784,000 BTC, while Gate.io and OKX saw drops of about 505,000 BTC and 395,000 BTC, respectively. 

Similar declines were also observed on Deribit, Bitfinex, and HTX, confirming a market-wide deleveraging trend.

Historically, very low open interest signals a market reset. When excess leverage is cleared, prices often stabilize, and this phase can lead to consolidation or even a bullish rebound if buying interest returns.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQs

What is a crypto options expiry event and why does it matter for Bitcoin and Ethereum?

A crypto options expiry is when options contracts end and settle. Today on Deribit, about $2.2 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expired, often leading to higher price swings as traders adjust positions. This can push prices toward the “max pain” level where most options expire worthless.

What happens after a major crypto options expiry?

Post-expiry, price constraints from options positions lift, often increasing volatility. Dealers may adjust hedges, making the market more responsive to new trends and economic news, like key U.S. data.

What market trends could follow after such a major options expiry?

After large expiries and open interest drops, markets often enter a consolidation phase. If buying interest returns, it can lead to a potential rebound, but sentiment and external events like U.S. economic data will influence outcomes.

The post Zcash (ZEC) Bounces 7% After Core Developer Exit Selloff: What’s Next? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Zcash (ZEC) has experienced a sharp correction following news of a core developer’s exit, which negatively impacted short-term market sentiment. This triggered an aggressive selloff, driving the price below key EMAs.

Despite this negative news and the initial selloff, ZEC has rebounded during intraday trading, rising over 7% to $432 on increased trading volume.

The intraday bounce comes just a day after panic-driven selling pushed the price into oversold territory, suggesting that much of the selloff may already be priced in.

The key question now is whether this bounce will develop into sustained buying or fade into another decline.

ZEC Bounces After Selloff: Is More Volatility Ahead?

Zcash (ZEC) surged 7% following a sharp selloff, indicating that buyers are stepping in at key support levels.

The rebound suggests that the market is absorbing the recent negative news. On-chain data also shows that whales and large holders are accumulating after the dip.

Furthermore, analyst Crypto Fella expressed a bullish view, stating that ZEC’s price reversal has played out and it could rally toward $500 soon.

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However, looking at recent price action, after consecutive losses last month, ZEC has formed a fresh lower low, indicating a potential trend change.

Unless ZEC closes strongly above $450, the bullish trend may not resume. Otherwise, a deeper correction toward $400 could unfold in the coming sessions.

What Do Derivatives Data Signals?

Liquidation data from Coinglass indicates a bullish short-term signal. Over $1.88 million in short positions have been liquidated compared to $375,000 in long positions, showing that the closure of a large number of shorts has triggered a quick bounce.

Additionally, open interest (OI) has risen 12.76% to $1.01 billion, reflecting fresh long-position buildup, which could support further gains during the intraday session.

FAQs

What is the ZEC price prediction for 2026?

ZEC could trade between $380 and $840 in 2026, depending on zero-knowledge upgrades, adoption growth, and overall market conditions.

What factors influence ZEC’s price growth?

ZEC’s price depends on privacy demand, zk-upgrades, regulatory trends, institutional interest, and adoption of shielded transactions.

How much will Zcash be worth in 2030?

If adoption accelerates and scalability improves, Zcash could reach up to $7,060 by 2030, driven by privacy infrastructure demand.

Is Zcash a good investment?

Zcash can be a good investment for those seeking privacy-focused crypto, but consider market volatility and technology adoption before investing.

The post South Korea Signals Bitcoin ETF Launch by 2026 in Major Crypto Policy Shift appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

South Korea is taking a decisive step toward mainstream crypto adoption, with the government signaling support for the launch of spot digital asset exchange-traded funds, including a Bitcoin ETF, as early as 2026. The initiative is part of the country’s newly unveiled 2026 Economic Growth Strategy, which places digital assets at the center of long-term financial innovation.

Bitcoin ETF Plans Take Shape

According to the policy roadmap, South Korean regulators will begin formal work this year on promoting spot crypto ETFs. While exact timelines are still being refined, officials have made it clear that Bitcoin will be the primary focus of the first ETF products. The move follows the success of spot Bitcoin ETFs in markets such as the U.S. and Hong Kong, where investor demand has surged since approval.

As per a local report, the government also confirmed that this year will mark the start of a “second wave” of digital asset legislation. These new bills aim to close regulatory gaps, particularly around emerging sectors like stablecoins and blockchain-based financial products.

Stablecoin Rules and Investor Protection in Focus

A major pillar of the upcoming regulatory framework is stablecoin oversight. Authorities are working on licensing requirements for issuers, including minimum capital standards and guaranteed redemption rights for holders. While progress has been made on disclosure and reserve rules, regulators are still debating which institutions should be allowed to issue stablecoins.

At the same time, South Korea is addressing cross-border stablecoin transfers, ensuring they comply with global financial and anti-money laundering standards. These efforts reflect growing concern over investor protection as stablecoin usage continues to expand.

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A Broader Digital Finance Strategy

The Bitcoin ETF push is part of a wider digital asset strategy already gaining momentum. Last year, South Korea lifted restrictions that blocked crypto firms from accessing venture capital, enabling blockchain startups to qualify for official venture certification. Institutional activity has followed, with Binance completing its acquisition of local exchange Gopax, marking its formal return to the Korean market.

Looking ahead, the government is also exploring blockchain applications in public finance. Plans include introducing deposit tokens backed by commercial bank deposits and potentially allocating up to 25% of treasury operations to blockchain-based instruments by 2030.

To support these initiatives, lawmakers aim to establish a clear legal framework for blockchain payments and settlements by the end of this year, laying the groundwork for a regulated, ETF-driven crypto market in South Korea.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQs

When could South Korea launch a Bitcoin ETF?

South Korea is targeting a spot Bitcoin ETF launch by 2026, with regulatory groundwork beginning in 2025 as part of its national economic growth plan.

Is South Korea becoming more crypto-friendly?

Yes. Beyond planning a Bitcoin ETF, South Korea has lifted VC restrictions on crypto firms and is building a full legal framework for blockchain finance and payments.

What is South Korea’s new crypto policy on Bitcoin ETFs?

The 2026 Economic Growth Strategy includes plans to allow spot digital asset ETFs, prioritizing Bitcoin, while regulators refine rules this year for safer, regulated investor access.

The post UK Crypto Firms Face Reauthorisation as FCA Details New Licensing Roadmap appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

The UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has laid out a detailed roadmap for bringing cryptoasset firms under a new, fully regulated framework. The crypto licensing “gateway” is expected to open in September 2026, ahead of the full cryptoasset regime taking effect in October 2027. The move marks a major shift in how crypto firms will be authorised, supervised, and allowed to operate in the UK market.

No Automatic Carryover for Existing Registrations

One of the most critical points for crypto firms is that existing registrations will not automatically transfer into the new regime. Firms currently registered under the UK’s anti-money laundering rules (MLRs), payment services, or electronic money regulations must reapply for authorisation under the Financial Services and Markets Act (FSMA).

This also applies to firms already authorised under FSMA for other financial activities. They will need to formally vary their existing permissions to cover cryptoasset services before the new regime begins.

Importantly, crypto firms that rely on third-party FCA-authorised firms to approve financial promotions will no longer be allowed to do so. To continue marketing to UK customers, they must secure direct FCA authorisation.

How the Application Gateway Will Work

The FCA expects the formal application period to open in September 2026. This window will last at least 28 days and close no later than 28 days before the new regime comes into force. Firms applying within this period are expected to have their applications decided before October 2027.

If an application is still under review when the regime begins, firms may continue operating under a “saving provision”, allowing services to continue temporarily. However, if an application is ultimately rejected, firms may be pushed into a structured exit process.

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Transitional Regime for Late or Unapproved Firms

Firms that miss the application deadline or fail to secure approval in time will automatically enter a transitional regime. While in this phase, firms can only continue servicing existing contracts and are barred from launching new crypto products or services until authorised.

The FCA has made it clear that late applications will not receive expedited reviews, increasing operational risk for firms that delay preparation.

FCA Support, But No Guarantees

To help firms prepare, the FCA plans to host information sessions explaining expectations and application standards. It is also offering optional pre-application meetings through its Pre-Application Support Service. While helpful, the FCA stresses these sessions do not guarantee approval.

Overall, the new gateway signals the UK’s push toward a stricter, clearer crypto framework, one that raises compliance standards while giving firms a defined path to long-term legitimacy.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQs

What are the potential consequences for firms that fail to reapply on time?

Firms missing the application window will enter a transitional regime, limiting them to servicing existing contracts. They cannot launch new products, which could affect revenue and market presence.

How might the new rules change marketing and promotions for crypto firms?

Crypto firms can no longer rely on third-party FCA-authorised approvals. They must secure direct FCA permission to promote products, raising compliance responsibilities for marketing teams.

What should firms prepare for during the FCA pre-application process?

Firms should review compliance systems, risk controls, and governance structures to meet FCA standards. Pre-application meetings offer guidance, but firms must independently ensure readiness for full authorisation.

The post Will Bitcoin Reach $2.9M? VanEck’s 25-Year Forecast Explained appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Asset manager VanEck just dropped a 25-year Bitcoin forecast that has the crypto community talking. The firm projects BTC could hit $2.9 million per coin by 2050, assuming a 15% annual growth rate from today’s prices.

Matthew Sigel, VanEck’s head of digital assets research, and senior analyst Patrick Bush published the outlook on Wednesday. The price target is built on specific assumptions about how Bitcoin fits into the global financial system over the next two decades.

How Does Bitcoin Get to $2.9 Million?

VanEck’s model rests on two big shifts.

First, they expect Bitcoin to settle 5-10% of global international trade and 5% of domestic trade by 2050. To put that in context, the British pound currently handles about 7.4% of international payments. Bitcoin would need to reach similar territory.

Second, the firm projects central banks will hold 2.5% of their reserves in Bitcoin as trust in government debt erodes.

“Bitcoin is not a tactical trade in this framework; it functions as a long-duration hedge against adverse monetary regime outcomes,” the analysts wrote.

Three Scenarios, One Takeaway

VanEck mapped out bear, base, and bull cases.

The bear case lands at $130,000 with a 2% annual return. The base case hits $2.9 million at 15%. And a bull scenario pushes to $53.4 million at 29% annual growth, though that would require Bitcoin to rival gold as a global reserve asset.

Here’s the interesting part: even VanEck’s worst-case scenario sits above Bitcoin’s current price of roughly $88,000.

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What This Means for Investors

VanEck suggests putting 1-3% of a diversified portfolio into Bitcoin. Their data shows a 3% allocation to a traditional 60/40 portfolio historically produced the best risk-adjusted returns.

The firm’s bottom line is: “The cost of zero exposure to the most established non-sovereign reserve asset may now exceed the volatility risk of the position itself.”

Worth noting: this 15% growth assumption is actually down from VanEck’s December 2024 projection, which used 25%.

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FAQs

Why would central banks hold Bitcoin in their reserves?

Central banks might add Bitcoin to diversify away from traditional government debt, hedge against inflation, and reduce exposure to currency volatility. This reflects growing interest in non-sovereign assets as a financial safety measure.

What impact could widespread Bitcoin adoption have on global trade?

If Bitcoin handles a significant share of international payments, it could lower transaction costs, speed cross-border settlements, and reduce reliance on traditional banking networks. It may also prompt regulatory adjustments in multiple countries.

What are the potential risks of using Bitcoin as a global trade currency?

Volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and technological vulnerabilities could disrupt trade if adoption scales rapidly. Businesses and governments would need robust infrastructure and risk management to integrate Bitcoin safely.

The post UK to Launch New Crypto Licensing Regime in 2026 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

The UK’s Financial Conduct Authority will open a crypto licensing gateway in September 2026, giving firms time to prepare for a new regulatory regime launching on 25 October 2027. All crypto businesses will need fresh FCA approval under the Financial Services and Markets Act, as existing AML or payments registrations will not carry over. Companies that miss the deadline may continue offering current services under a transitional regime, but will be blocked from launching new products. The changes aim to improve oversight, raise standards, and strengthen consumer protection across the UK crypto market.